Politico (9/15/21) on National Picture: GOP Shoring Up Seats That Had Become Competitive (NATIONAL)

 

Politico has a new article analyzing a bunch of GOP-held U.S. House districts in which Democratic challengers (though still losing) had closed the gap in 2018 and 2020, but Republican governors and legislators can now make more safely red for 2022 (h/t Dave Wasserman on Twitter). 

As the article notes, Democratic pick-up opportunities in these districts will become next to nil, putting extreme pressure on the D's to get all their incumbents re-elected (at least those whose districts are not drawn out of existence).

Districts mentioned in the article as being almost certain to move further out of Democratic reach than they currently are include: AR-2 (held by French Hill), FL-26 (Carlos Gimenez), FL-27 (Maria Elvira Salazar), IN-5 (Victoria Spartz), KY-6 (Andy Barr), MO-2 (Ann Wagner), NC-8 (Richard Hudson), NC-9 (Dan Bishop), OK-5 (Stephanie Bice), and SC-1 (Nancy Mace).