Redistricting Now Complete in All States (NATIONAL)

 

With New Hampshire finally determining how to draw the lines between its two congressional districts, all states have now completed redistricting for the 2022 elections (six states only have one U.S. House seat, so redistricting is irrelevant there).

Expert opinion varies a tiny bit on which party got the best of redistricting, but any advantage to either party deriving purely from redistricting is likely to be small. 

Five-Thirty-Eight's tracker projects an increase of six Democratic-leaning seats compared to the previous map. However, "After accounting for incumbency... Republicans are actually the ones who have gained ground from redistricting: The GOP is positioned for a net gain of three to five seats in 2022 just thanks to the new lines alone."

Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report tweeted the following on May 19:

Something everyone seems to agree on is that the number of truly competitive seats has declined tremendously.

Though all states completed their redistricting process, there are still some pending court cases. Just yesterday, in fact, a federal judge in Louisiana blocked that state's congressional map from going into effect, saying that application of the Voting Rights Act in this context would require two (not the current one) majority-Black districts. This decision is being appealed and may end up at the U.S. Supreme Court, which previously blocked a similar ruling with regard to Alabama from going into effect.

Although court challenges have benefited the Democrats in some states, setbacks for the Democrats in New York, Ohio, and Maryland have limited their potential gains.