Five-Thirty-Eight (1/31/22) on Potential U.S. House Districts for New York State

Five-Thirty-Eight is out today with an in-depth examination (including diagrams) of a proposed map before the New York legislature to determine the state's U.S. House districts. The article describes the plan, which could gain the Democrats three seats in the Empire State, as a "a good possibility [to pass] but far from a certainty." 

The article hits a number of themes, including the parts of the state in which redrawn districts would likely shift from lean-Republican to lean-Democratic; the possible ways in which the plan could fail either in the legislature or in the courts; and why the final drawing of districts almost certainly will fall to the legislature, rather than to the state's bipartisan districting commission.